Thursday, August 30, 2012

Disasters Happen! Be Prepared! (Part 2)

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A Suggested Survival List
By Chuck Baldwin
August 30, 2012
NewsWithViews.com
http://www.newswithviews.com/baldwin/baldwin716.htm
It’s once again time for my annual survival list column. One does not have to be a prophet to know that we are on the precipice of some potentially catastrophic--or at the very least, challenging--days. In fact, most of us are already in challenging days, and some are already enduring catastrophic events. That is, if one would call being out of work, losing one’s home, facing life-threatening medical conditions without any prospect of medical insurance, several families being forced to live in one house due to homes being foreclosed, etc.,
catastrophic.
The potential for an escalation of cataclysmic events, however, is very real. Only a “blooming idiot” would call someone who attempts to prepare for “the day of adversity” a Chicken Little now. Anyone who does not see the storm clouds on the horizon isn’t paying attention.
For example, can one imagine what would happen if Russia or China launched a nuclear attack against the United States? (Once again, I encourage readers to watch the CBS TV series “Jericho” to get an idea of how quickly life, and even civilization, could change.) Imagine if there was another 9/11-type event. What would happen if some form of Zimbabwe-style inflation hit the US? What would happen if anything disrupted the distribution of Welfare checks, or food to local grocers? Imagine a Hurricane Katrina-style natural disaster in your town. I think people everywhere are beginning to awaken to just how vulnerable we all really are.
As a result, people from virtually every walk of life have asked my thoughts on how they should prepare. Therefore, I will, again, attempt to share with my readers some of the counsel I have given these folks.
First, a disclaimer. I am not an economist; I am not a survival expert; I am not a firearms expert; I am not an attorney; I am not a physician. In fact, I am not an expert in anything! For several years, however, I have tried to learn from others. I am an avid reader. My work has allowed me to travel extensively. In fact, I have logged over 150,000 miles crisscrossing this great country over the last few years. I have had the privilege of sitting at the feet of--and learning from--many of America’s most learned, most trained, and most qualified “experts” in a variety of fields. What I write today, I have learned from others. I’ve formed my own opinions and priorities, of course, but everything I’m sharing has been said, or written about, before. But if I can share something in today’s column that will help someone be better prepared for the days to come, then my goal will have been achieved.
Location:
Analyze your living conditions. Where do you live? Do you live in an urban or rural environment? Is it a big city or small town? Do you live in an apartment or condominium? How close are your neighbors? Do you even know your neighbors? Would you trust them if the electricity was off and they were hungry? Could you grow your own food if you had to? How easily could you secure your home? If you live in a cold weather environment, how long could you stay warm without electricity? These are the kinds of questions you need to ask yourself now.
Over the past several decades, masses of people have migrated into large metropolitan areas. More people currently live in urban areas than at any time in American history. While this may be well and good for times of prosperity, it is an absolute nightmare during any kind of disaster. Does anyone remember what New Orleans looked like after Hurricane Katrina came through? Can anyone recall what happened in downtown Los Angeles during the 1992 riots? Needless to say, any inner-city environment could become a powder keg almost instantaneously, given the right (or wrong) circumstances. And the bigger the city, the bigger the potential problems.
If you live in the inner city, I suggest you consider moving to a more rural location. Obviously, now is a very good time to buy property (especially rural property), but the downside is, selling property is not as favorable. If you can afford it, now is a great time to buy a “safe house” outside the city. If you are fortunate enough to have family or some true friends nearby, you may want to put your heads--and some resources--together in preparation for serious upheaval. Obviously, a team of prepared people is much better than being alone.
If you must stay in your urban location, have some common sense plans in hand in the event of a major
disaster. Get to know your neighbors: find out whom you can trust and whom you can’t. Keep some extra gasoline on hand, in case you need to get in your car quickly and leave. Have several exit routes planned ahead of time, in case roads are blocked. Have a “bug-out” bag containing essential ingredients to live on for three to four days. If leaving is not an option, have a plan to secure your home as best you can. You’ll need to think about things such as food, water, medicine, warmth, self-defense, etc. But at this point, to do nothing is absolute lunacy!
Most readers probably know that my entire family and I made the decision two years ago to move 2,600 miles from our home of 35 years in the Florida panhandle to the Flathead Valley of Montana, which is located about 75 miles south of the Canadian border in the Rocky Mountains. I can tell readers without equivocation or hesitation that we are so glad we made this move. We absolutely love it here--all the difficulties and trials associated with such a life-changing move notwithstanding. In fact, I’ve never lived in a place I love so much!
If readers want to learn more about what prompted our move to Montana, please peruse the information on this web page: http://chuckbaldwinlive.com/home/baldwins-move-to-montana
Provisions:
During a major disaster, food will quickly disappear. Living for over three decades on the Gulf Coast, I can tell you with absolute certainty that whenever disaster strikes (usually an approaching hurricane, for those folks), food and provisions at the store sell completely out in a matter of a few hours. People panic, and within hours, you cannot find food, bottled water, ice, generators, batteries, candles, etc. In a matter of hours, every gas station in the area will be completely out of gas. Not days. Hours!
Furthermore, almost all disasters include a complete loss of electricity. The water supply is compromised. Bottled water becomes more valuable than bank accounts. Dehydration becomes a very real and present danger. I remember witnessing a man offer an ice vendor $100 for an extra bag of ice during Hurricane Ivan. My wife and I went two weeks (14 days) without electricity in the aftermath of that hurricane. Believe me, I got a taste of just how precious bottled water, ice, batteries, generators, fuel, etc., can become.
I suggest you have a supply of food and water to last at least a month. Many survival experts insist that a six-month supply is the minimum. Personally, I can live a long time on tuna fish or peanut butter. You can purchase MREs from a variety of sources, as well as “camp-style” packaged food from many sporting goods stores. Of course, bottled water is available everywhere during normal times. Stock up! Distilled water will store longer than spring water. Plus, I suggest you have some water purification tablets or a Katadyn water filter on hand. And, if you are able, prepare to grow your own food. In cold weather climates such as we have here in Montana, people quickly learn how to construct and utilize greenhouses in which to grow food.
Canning food is another very helpful hedge against deprivation. If your parents and grandparents were like mine, this was standard operating procedure.
Get a generator. Keep a supply of fuel on hand. Stay stocked up on batteries, candles, portable lights, first aid supplies, and personal hygiene items--especially toilet paper. Trust me, during times of intense and prolonged disaster, toilet paper could become more valuable than money. I also suggest you never run out of lighters or matches. You never know when you’ll need to build a fire--and during a prolonged survival situation, fire could save your life. If you live in a cold weather climate, you probably already have some sort of wood stove or fireplace. And don’t overlook the necessity of a good knife.
Obviously, you need to take stock of your clothing. Do you have clothes suitable for extended outdoor activity? What about boots? During a disaster, you would trade your best suit from Neiman Marcus for a good pair of boots. Do you have gloves? Insulated underwear? What about camouflage clothing? These could become essential outerwear in the right conditions. Plus, any “bug-out” bag will need to include spare clothing. And as most folks here in Montana know, “cotton kills.” For extended outdoor wear in cold weather, wool is the only way to go!
Communication and medical provisions are also a high priority in any kind of emergency. How will you communicate with your loved ones when the phones (including cell phones) go down? Portable ham radios are a very valuable resource. But the time to buy (and train to use) one is NOW! A preordained rally point (or safe house) might be something to think about. And what about medical supplies? Do you have enough to take care of routine (and not-so-routine) emergencies? What about your prescription drugs? How long could you function if you were cut off from your pharmacist for any length of time? Also, seriously consider learning about natural, herbal medicines. Those plants growing in your “back forty” might just cure a headache, stop bleeding, or even save your life. Think about it now.
And one more suggestion, while we’re on this subject: the best resources in the world are of little use if one is physically incapable of making good use of them. In other words, GET IN SHAPE. During any kind of emergency situation, physical exertion and stamina become immensely important.
Commodities:
I suggest you have at least some cash on hand. Just about any and all disasters will result in banks being closed for extended periods of time. That also means credit card purchases being suspended. You need to have enough cash to be able to purchase essential goods (if they are even available) for an undetermined amount of time.
Of course, some survival gurus insist that during any cataclysmic climate, precious metals will become the only reliable currency. A little gold and silver could go a long way in a prolonged emergency. For that matter, with the way our fiat money system is coming unraveled, you may want to seriously consider moving your IRA accounts into precious metals, if for no other reason than to better protect your savings. Ask yourself, how much money have I already lost at the hands of these banksters in the Federal Reserve and their toadies in the stock market?
In fact, in a disaster, what is considered a valuable commodity can change rather quickly, as the barter system takes a life of its own. What is valuable is determined by what you need and how badly you need it. In a prolonged disaster, simple things such as toilet paper, canned goods, ammunition, and clothing could become extremely valuable; while cars, video games, televisions, etc., could be reduced to junk status. In antiquity, wars were fought over things such as salt. You might be surprised to learn that there are already active barter groups in your area. I suggest you establish a relationship with these people now!
Speaking of cars, remember that during a prolonged “national emergency” that might involve some sort of nuclear attack or widespread civil unrest, an Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) might be employed; in which case, most every late model vehicle would be completely inoperable. Accordingly, if one can keep an older, pre-computer-age vehicle in good working order, he or she might be driving the only non-government vehicle capable of going anywhere. Of course, you might not want to drive it to town!
Self-Defense:
Needless to say, during any kind of disaster, your safety and protection will be completely up to you. If you really think that the police are going to be able to protect you during an upheaval, you are living in a dream world.
In both the New Orleans and Los Angeles disasters, police protection was non-existent. Lawless gangs quickly took control of the streets, and people were left to either defend themselves or swiftly become the helpless prey of violent marauders. In fact, in New Orleans, some of the policemen actually abandoned their oaths to uphold the law and joined with the criminals, turning their weapons upon the public.
Face it, folks: in any kind of disaster, you must be able to defend yourself, or you and your family will be meat for these animals of society that will quickly descend without mercy upon the unprepared, unsuspecting souls around them. This requires that you be armed! It also requires that you be skilled enough to be able to efficiently use your arms. Therefore, I strongly suggest that you purchase firearms sufficient to keep you and your family safe, and also that you practice sufficiently to know how to use them.
Now, when it comes to a discussion of which firearms are preferable for self-defense, the suggestions are as varied as the people who proffer them. These are my suggestions:
I believe every man (along with his wife and children of adequate age) should be proficient with the following weapons: a handgun in .38 caliber or above, a .22 rifle, a center-fire bolt-action hunting rifle, a semi-automatic battle rifle, and a shotgun.
My personal preference for a self-defense handgun is either a .45 ACP 1911 (either Colt or Kimber), a Glock .45, or a .40 S&W. In the .40 caliber, my favorite is a Glock 22 or 23. In the 1911, I like the Commander size configuration. I prefer either the Model 21 or the Model 30 in the Glock .45. And I will also admit to sometimes carrying a 9mm Glock 19 or a Smith & Wesson .357 revolver. My two favorites in this caliber are the Model 66 with a 2 ½-inch barrel and the Model 586 with a 4-inch barrel. My wife prefers to carry a Smith & Wesson .38 caliber revolver in the snub-nose, J-frame configuration. But this is primarily due to the reduced weight of these weapons for carry purposes. If needed, she could make a good accounting of herself with the Glock 19. If you are someone who has never owned and seldom fired a handgun, I recommend you buy a Glock. They are as simple as revolvers to operate, reliable, and almost indestructible. Plus, they provide increased magazine capacity, and are safe. They are also very easy to disassemble and clean. Of course, in dangerous game territory, you will need the power of a 10mm (the Glock 20 shines here), .45 Long Colt, .44 Magnum, or even a .454 Casull. These calibers are not for the limp-wristed, but when one is facing a brown bear or mountain lion, it is what one will need to survive. Plus, when your life is on the line, you’ll never feel the recoil.
For a .22 rifle, I really like the Ruger 10/22. A Marlin tube-fed .22 is also very effective. The CZ bolt-action .22 just might be the most accurate .22 on the market. For a hunting rifle, my suggestion is either a .270 or .30-06 caliber bolt-action rifle. I prefer the Remington Model 700 BDL or Browning X-Bolt, but there are several fine weapons in this configuration and caliber by numerous manufacturers. In dangerous game territory, a Marlin .45-70 could be a lifesaver. For a battle rifle, I suggest an AR-15-style weapon in .223 caliber or a .308 Springfield M1A. For a shotgun, I suggest a 12-gauge pump. Here I prefer a Winchester Model 1300, which is not made anymore. So, you’ll probably have to choose between Mossberg and Remington. For ladies, however, a 20-gauge shotgun is probably a better choice, and at “bad breath” range (where a shotgun shines, anyway), it is just as lethal.
Whatever you choose, practice with it to the point that you are able to use it proficiently. And be sure you stock up on ammunition. A gun without ammo is reduced to being either an expensive club or a cumbersome paperweight.
Go to your local independent sporting goods store (I don’t recommend the large national chain stores to do your firearms shopping.) and get to know your hometown firearms dealer. Most of these people are kind and helpful folks who will be more than happy to assist you in finding exactly what type of firearm is suitable for you and your family.
Spiritual Power:
I firmly believe that man is created to have fellowship with his Creator-God. I really don’t know how people can face the uncertain future that we currently face without the spiritual knowledge, wisdom, comfort, and power that is made available through Jesus Christ. I believe the maxim is true: “Wise men still seek Him.” I strongly suggest that you seek to possess a personal relationship with God’s only begotten Son. In truth, spiritual preparation is far and away the most important preparation of all. Accordingly, be sure to pack a copy of God’s Word in your survival gear.
And if you have not been able to find a local church where the pastor isn’t afraid to deal with the kind of issues like I am dealing with in this column, I invite you to worship online with us at Liberty Fellowship. People all over America who are tired of these 501c3, establishment churches--who have no clue as to what is going on and who wouldn’t take a stand if they did--are tuning in to hear my messages at Liberty Fellowship every Sunday afternoon. To tune in this Sunday, click here: http://chuckbaldwinlive.com/home/liberty-fellowship
That we are facing challenging days is a certainty. Exactly what that means is yet to be determined. I trust that some of my suggestions will help you be better prepared for what lies before us. Plus, here is an excellent online Survival Blog chock-full of great suggestions and resources for all things survival: http://www.survivalblog.com/
And if you are considering relocation, please check out Joel Skousen’s web site: http://joelskousen.com/strategic.html
And if you think you may want to relocate to the Flathead Valley of Montana, George Hudson, a man at Liberty Fellowship who “escaped” from California to locate here--and who is now helping scores of people from all over the country to resettle in our beautiful valley--may be contacted here: hudnut1940@gmail.com
Please give him a few days to email you back, but he will be happy to try to answer any questions you have about moving here.
I am sure that I have left out several items that others more qualified than me would include. I welcome their suggestions, as I am always desirous to learn from those who are wiser and more experienced. In the meantime, remember your Boy Scout motto: “Be Prepared.”
• If you appreciate this column and want to help me distribute these editorial opinions to an ever-growing audience, donations may now be made by credit card, check, or Money Order. Use this link: http://chuckbaldwinlive.com/home/donate
And please visit my web site for past columns and much more: http://chuckbaldwinlive.com/home/
© 2012 Chuck Baldwin - All Rights Reserved
Chuck Baldwin is a syndicated columnist, radio broadcaster, author, and pastor dedicated to preserving the historic principles upon which America was founded. He was the 2008 Presidential candidate for the Constitution Party. He and his wife, Connie, have 3 children and 8 grandchildren. Chuck and his family reside in the Flathead Valley of Montana. See Chuck's complete bio here.
E-mail: chuck@chuckbaldwinlive.com
Website: ChuckBaldwinLive.com
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Predicting Disasters Of The Future: Economic Disaster, Water Shortages, And Cyber Attacks
Neal Ungerleider
February, 2012
A new report asking experts what disasters they’re afraid of has enough in it to make you hide under the bed. Bad news for optimists: The experts think global catastrophe is more likely than ever.
Experts around the world agree: Global catastrophes are coming in the next decade. When the experts were polled, they were incredibly pessimistic. We’re at increased risk of economic, political, and environmental disaster. It’s a scary world out there, and it’s just getting scarier.
Erwann Michel-Kerjan, managing director of the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center and one of the primary figures behind the Global Risks 2012 report, told Co.Exist that one of the biggest surprises was how pessimistic global leaders were about likely, high-impact events in the next 10 years. Michel-Kerjan, who has worked on the annual reports in the past, noted that respondents are now noticeably more worried than in prior years. Chronic fiscal imbalances, severe income disparities, water supply crises, and cyberattacks led the pack of consistent fears from respondents--who were chosen from business, government, international organizations, NGOs, and academia.
Respondents said that, on a 5-point scale with 5 meaning almost certain, the likelihood of chronic fiscal imbalances and severe income disparities was 4.3, and cyberattacks clocked in at 3.8. By contrast, the risk of unmanageable inflation or deflation was 2.82 and unprecendented geophysical destruction was 2.85. Phew.
Michel-Kerjan said that one of the greatest areas of concern is the potential for one disaster to cause other, spillover disasters. Michel-Kerjan gave the specific example of the chain reaction of events from the Fukushima earthquake--which caused both the well-known Fukushima Nuclear Plant crisis and a host of lesser-known economic headaches that were caused by disruptions to the global supply chain and to Japanese politics.
Other crises that respondents were polled on include the everyday (terrorism, pervasive entrenched corruption), the buzzworthy (rising religious fanaticism, backlash against globalization), and the oddly science-fictionish, like the unintended consequences of nanotechnology and massive digital misinformation. Interestingly, massive digital misinformation--”deliberately provocative, misleading or incomplete information [that] disseminates rapidly and extensively with dangerous consequences”--ranked an impressive likelihood of 3.19. Don’t believe everything you read, indeed.
The report was prepared by the World Economic Forum in collaboration with risk consultants Marsh & McLennan, insurance giant Swiss Re, the Wharton Center for Risk Management, and Zurich Financial. Michel-Kerjan notes that one of his biggest worries is that the risk consulting field is not proactive enough in terms of preventing risks from occurring.
However, the litmus test of any future-predicting report is how accurate it’s been in the past. The Global Risks 2011 report worried about “a populist backlash against globalization” (see: Occupy Wall Street), cybercrime, and that “current global governance systems lack capacity to deal with global risks.” Meanwhile, the Global Risks 2010 report failed to predict the Arab Spring--one of the most important geopolitical developments in decades. Like many other things, predicting the future is a mixed bag.
******* Also See:
Food Shortage, Then Anarchy!
25 July 2012
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.ca/2012/07/food-shortage-then-anarchy.html
and
Disasters Happen! Be Prepared!
(Part 1)
31 March 2011
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.ca/2011/03/disasters-happen-be-prepared.html
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Saturday, August 25, 2012

God or Science? (Part 3)

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Stephen Hawking says universe not created by God
Physics, not creator, made Big Bang, new book claims
• Professor had previously referred to 'mind of God'
Adam Gabbatt
The Guardian, Thursday 2 September 2010
God did not create the universe, the man who is arguably Britain's most famous living scientist says in a forthcoming book.
[Left: Spontaneous creation is the reason there is something rather than nothing, why we exist, says Stephen Hawking. Photograph: Bruno Vincent/Getty Images]

In the new work, The Grand Design, Professor Stephen Hawking argues that the Big Bang, rather than occurring following the intervention of a divine being, was inevitable due to the law of gravity.
In his 1988 book, A Brief History of Time, Hawking had seemed to accept the role of God in the creation of the universe. But in the new text, co-written with American physicist Leonard Mlodinow, he said new theories showed a creator is "not necessary".
The Grand Design, an extract of which appears in the Times today, sets out to contest Sir Isaac Newton's belief that the universe must have been designed by God as it could not have been created out of chaos.
"Because there is a law such as gravity, the universe can and will create itself from nothing," he writes. "Spontaneous creation is the reason there is something rather than nothing, why the universe exists, why we exist.
"It is not necessary to invoke God to light the blue touch paper and set the universe going."
In the forthcoming book, published on 9 September, Hawking says that M-theory, a form of string theory, will achieve this goal: "M-theory is the unified theory Einstein was hoping to find," he theorises.
"The fact that we human beings – who are ourselves mere collections of fundamental particles of nature – have been able to come this close to an understanding of the laws governing us and our universe is a great triumph."
Hawking says the first blow to Newton's belief that the universe could not have arisen from chaos was the observation in 1992 of a planet orbiting a star other than our Sun. "That makes the coincidences of our planetary conditions – the single sun, the lucky combination of Earth-sun distance and solar mass – far less remarkable, and far less compelling as evidence that the Earth was carefully designed just to please us human beings," he writes.
Hawking had previously appeared to accept the role of God in the creation of the universe. Writing in his bestseller A Brief History Of Time in 1988, he said: "If we discover a complete theory, it would be the ultimate triumph of human reason – for then we should know the mind of God."
Hawking resigned as Lucasian Professor of Mathematics at Cambridge University last year after 30 years in the position.
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Introducing the Big Bang machine
Stephen Hawking
The Guardian, Monday 30 June 2008
Humans have always strived to understand where the universe came from. Aristotle believed it could not have had a beginning and would not end. Immanuel Kant asked why, if there was a beginning, the universe had waited an infinite time before it began.
In 1915, Albert Einstein's general theory of relativity solved the conundrum: space and time were not fixed backgrounds to events, but dynamic entities. And, just as there is no point further south than the South Pole, time cannot exist outside the universe. But there was a problem: Einstein's idea, which describes the very large, does not fit with the other pillar of 20th century physics - quantum theory - which describes the very small.
The Large Hadron Collider at Cern in Geneva, which switches on this summer after 20 years of preparation, is an attempt to bring us closer to solving this dilemma. It will smash particles together to recreate the moments after the big bang, producing a new golden age of discovery for physicists. The essays that follow give a taste of our excitement.
Some have asked if turning on the LHC could produce some disastrous, unexpected result. Indeed, some theories of spacetime suggest the particle collisions might create mini black holes. If that happened, I have proposed that these black holes would radiate particles and disappear. If we saw this at the LHC, it would open up a new area of physics, and I might even win a Nobel prize. But I'm not holding my breath.
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Also See:
God or Science?
(Part 1)
09 December 2010
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.ca/2010/12/god-or-science.html
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Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Disorder in Russia - Pussy Riot, Kasparov Jailed!

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Pussy Riot - Band or Propaganda Ploy?
by Marcos
(henrymakow.com)
August 21, 2012
Left, Notice the Marxist clinched fist and the motto "no pasarán"on T-shirt, made famous by the Spanish Communist Party and the Sandinistas of Nicaragua.
Pussy Riot is not a rock band. They have never recorded a CD, never played in a show. They are part of a Rothschild program to destabilize Russia, ironically using Communist tactics.
It is not something we see everyday: the entire western media, pop stars like Sting, Madonna and Macartney running amok over an obscure Russian punk girlie band. The left wing newspaper Guardian in London screams "It is worse than the Soviet era", and is echoed by one of the bastions of neocons in America, Freedom House, through its director Susan Corke.
The group is called Pussy Riot, and they were arrested for hooliganism and desecration of the Moscow Cathedral, singing blasphemous verses, and attacking president Putin. Last week, they have been sentenced to two years in jail. They were not condemned for their political views, which they have freely expressed many times before.
Pussy Riot is not a band They have never recorded a CD, never played in a show. In fact, they are a radical communist group, that loves Karl Marx and performs in honor of Che Guevara's birthday. They are a branch of the extremist group "Voina", (the word means war), that is known for many disgusting and even dangerous agit-prop actions since 2002. Here is an article describing their obscene stunts: http://plucer.livejournal.com/266853.html Now there is strong evidence that they have been supported by agencies from the western elite: http://www.deliberation.info/pussy-riot-connections-to-soros/
It is interesting to notice that most countries have similar laws against attacks on religion, including England, where the penalty is even more severe, the US and even Brazil, where the action can result in one year of jail time.
Global Campaign Against Morality and Religion
Pussy Riot now joins the bare-breasted Ukranian Femen group, the "March of the Sluts" groups and the Gay Parades that have been in the news lately. Always well funded, their agenda is extreme feminism, cultural marxism and the destruction of all traditional relgious and family values. The use of "frontmen", agents provocateurs who end up as "victims" after intentional confrontation is an old tactic of Cultural Marxists.
Russia is now a special target since the country has turned to more nationalist, conservative ways. Recently, Russia has forbidden gay parades for 100 years, and Saint Petersburg does not allow propaganda that may expose children to the gay lifestyle. They also regulated and controlled foreign-funded NGOs, thus cutting the arms of foreign influence in Russia.
The proof that the global media doesn't care about freedom of expression is that, almost at the same time, Julian Assange from Wikileaks fame was thrown to the dogs. There was even talk about Britain invading the Ecuador embassy in order to arrest him. Madonna surely didn't utter a word to support him.
Putin, the Riddle
Putin inherited a country in ruins. Russia had life expectancy levels comparable to some poor African countries. Once known as a source of Nobel Prizes, now Russia ranks behind Turkey in educational tests and produces less than 1.7% of all published scientific research in the world.
The demographic situation of the country is abysmal. Russia is the largest country in area in the world but its population is declining by the day. Considering that Russia ranks first in natural gas reserves with 643 trillion cubic feet, we see that Russia is like a wounded bear, ready for the hyenas to attack.
It is common knowledge that Gorbatchev intended to deliver Soviet Union into the hands of the new world order elite. A New Ager himself, he put almost all riches of the country in pockets of Masonic bankers and oligarchs who were front men to Rothschild interests.
However, they underestimated the strength of the KGB and the star of Putin. Gorbachev could move to San Francisco, but the KGB officials wanted to keep their power.
Marxist Russia was, after all, more Russian than Marxist. Even in Stalinist times, Russians always wanted their country to be the leader of the Communist world. They built a state bureaucracy so strong that it resisted the end of materialist Marxism. Putin (and his mentor Aleksandr Dugin) still believe in the promise of an Eurasian empire led by Russia, Marxist or not.
Gorbatchev must have realized that Russia was at a crossroad and strong action was needed to save the country from more plunder and the destruction of the government bureaucracy (KGB) privileges. He confronted the oligarchs and send many to jail. He allied himself with the Orthodox Church and the patriotic spirit of the people, and that's why he is loved by so many Russians.
Russia is now more concerned with its power as a nation and its state bureaucracy than championing Marxism. Materialist Marxism has passed its expiry date and now Cultural Marxism has been adopted by the western new world order elite. It is the way they control societies.
Finally, let's remember that Russia is no angel. Putin is indeed an authoritarian leader and KGB is still active in several countries. Its profile is fascist. It is very ironic that Cultural Marxism is being used to attack Russia, the same tool that it used successfully for decades against the West.
Conclusion
The western satanic elite is using NGOs to destabilize countries which are resisting their new world order and undermine any values that empower the individual, such as family, patriotism and religion.
In typical School of Frankfurt strategy, it works with opinion leaders, the media, show business and education. They make it look like the desired change had grassroots origins. In integrated countries, it mostly uses political correctness and eco-nazism (Greenpeace, WWF).
The so-called Arab spring was without a doubt the most successful application of this strategy so far. Small groups funded by the elite, many times through George Soros and his many organizations, spread dissent in society (agitprop Marxist tactics). In the Islamic countries, this resulted in the coming to power of the Muslim Brotherhood, a Masonic organization which works for the NWO. Now the elite is trying the same strategy with Russia.
It seems there is resistance to the western-based New World Order in Russia and perhaps China. These countries have been in and out of control, but their patriotism and isolationism make them special cases.
Geopolitics is still relevant. Unfortunately, both have maintained some sovereignty from the western NWO only through authoritarian (and in the Chinese case, murderous) regimes.
If Russia, through Putin, has indeed deviated the western New World Order, we can be sure that conflict can only escalate in the future. *******
Russia's "Pussy Riot" Stunt Supported by US State Department
by Tony Cartalucci
Global Research, August 18, 2012
landdestroyer.blogspot.com - 2012-08-17
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=32395
America's troupe of "activists" continue attempts to divide and undermine Russian society.
When the US is overtly backing the terrorist invasion of Syria, seeing to the death, displacement, and disruption of millions of lives abroad, while hosting a mass murdering fugitive dictator at home, what then is it to back an act of hooliganism in a Russian church targeting a geopolitical rival?
The US State Department-backed so-called "punk band" going by the name of "Pussy Riot," stormed into a Moscow church, defaming the Russian government while mocking the beliefs of churchgoers with vulgarity and disruptive behavior. Marketed as an act of "freedom of expression" by the Western media and the West's collection of foreign ministries, it was in reality what would be called both a hate-crime and disorderly conduct in the West. Furthermore, in the West, such an act would come with it steep fines and lengthy jail sentences.
In fact, similar cases have played out in the West - minus the feigned indignation over the perceived violation of free speech of alleged bigots, racists, and hooligans that have preceded "Pussy Riot." In many cases, the West has actively pursued not only people harassing others and creating public disturbances, but also those distributing material to like minded people who's beliefs are simply perceived as "socially harmful."
The West Has Jailed Many For Similar or Lesser Offenses
3 Years in Jail for Revising History: In 2006, the BBC reported, "British historian David Irving has been found guilty in Vienna of denying the Holocaust of European Jewry and sentenced to three years in prison." The BBC also reported, "the judge in his 2000 libel trial declared him "an active Holocaust denier... anti-Semitic and racist."" Irving's beliefs, as unpopular as they may be, were expressed in his writings and speeches, not in the middle of a synagogue he had burst into.
4 Years and 2 Years in Jail for Operating "Racist" Website: For the crime of operating a US-based "racist" website and possessing with intent to distribute "racist material," two British men, Simon Sheppard and Stephen Whittle were sentenced to 4 years and 2 years respectively in the UK in 2009. The presiding judge, according to the BBC, "told the men their material was "abusive and insulting" and had the potential to cause "grave social harm."" Unlike Pussy Riot, however, these 2 men only crammed their leaflets into the door of a synagogue - instead of bursting in. Still they received 3-4 years in prison.
5 Years in Jail for Disagreeing With Mainstream History: Also in 2009, a man was jailed for 5 years for "propagating Nazi ideas and Holocaust denial" in Austria, Reuters reported. Gerd Honsik apparently wrote books and magazines which he attempted to distribute in schools, though it was the content of the material, not the manner in which he tried to distribute it that earned him his lengthy jail sentence. Unpopular though his ideas may be, according to the latest tirade by the West, he not only should've been allowed to proclaim them publicly, but do so in a place of worship amongst those he despised.
3 Years in Jail for Harassing a Jewish Man and Public Hate Speech: In 2011, an Australian man posted an "anti-Semitic" video on YouTube earning him a 3 year jail sentence. The video apparently showed the convicted man insulting a Jewish man before going on a tirade "in front of the Perth Bell Tower," reported ABC of Australia. Clearly insulting someone in Australia and creating a public disturbance is a punishable crime, yet somehow the Australian government sees insulting churchgoers in Russia as "freedom of expression." Equally as clear, is that hypocrisy and selective principles are being liberally exercised.
Detainment for "Hateful" Public Disturbance: This year, the British Daily Mail reported in their article, "Elmo in cuffs: Man dressed as Sesame Street character is carried away in Central Park after anti-Semitic rant in front of kids," that "the appearance of a hate-spewing man dressed up as Elmo was a jarring one for many New Yorkers who visited Central Park on Sunday afternoon." The article elaborated by saying that though the man was put in handcuffs and taken away, he was not arrested. While no arrest or sentence was handed down, the story clearly indicates that there is a line drawn as to what is "freedom of speech" and what is "disturbing the peace" in the United States.
Arrested for Aggravating "religious and racial" Facebook Comments: For the crime of posting "anti-Semitic" remarks on Facebook, the BBC reported that "five men and a 15-year-old youth" were arrested in May, 2012. The BBC would elaborate by reporting, "the six people arrested were charged with a breach of the peace with religious and racial aggravations."
Politically-Motivated Hypocrisy and Proxy Poseurs
Regardless of what one's beliefs may be on "freedom of expression" and what lines if any exist between responsible and irresponsible use of this freedom, one cannot ignore the astounding hypocrisy exhibited by the West - now wringing their hands in feigned disapproval over the jailing of "Pussy Riot" while their jails are full of "hate speech" perpetrators - many of whom did not even specifically target or disturb the subjects of their perceived scorn.
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Images: "Pussy Riot's" support campaign is spearheaded by Oksana Chelysheva of the US State Department-funded "Russian-Chechen Friendship Society," a clearing house for Chechen terrorist propaganda. Along with US State Department-subsidized Alexey Navalny and the West's media outlets on their side, the hooligan anti-establishment "punk rockers" now on trial in Moscow have a decidedly "establishment" backing.
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The real reason why the Western media outlets have been so keen on covering the "Pussy Riot" trial has nothing to do with "free speech."
The West, and more specifically, the corporate-financier interests of Wall Street and London, see Russia's current government as a barrier to not only the return to the unmitigated plundering of the Russian people they had enjoyed in the 1990's, but a check and balance inhibiting their hegemonic ambitions globally. The West has propped up with money and political support the opposition movement from which "Pussy Riot" has emanated.
This latest stunt was designed specifically to breath new life into the crumbling, overtly foreign-backed "opposition" that has been attempting to divide and undermine both Russia and the government of President Vladamir Putin, before, during, and after his return to the presidency. Instead, this latest stunt does little more than further expose the increasingly visible hypocrisy and injustice pervading all parts of Western society.
Finally, "Pussy Riot" are not punk rockers. They are US State Department-backed instruments of corporate-financier hegemony, used as leverage against a Russian government standing in the way of Wall Street and London's order of international corporatocracy. The punk culture, ironically represents the antithesis of such an international order - ironic indeed that so many have superficially defended "Pussy Riot" as targeted "punkers" when substantively they are "poseurs."
Tony Cartalucci is a frequent contributor to Global Research.
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Pussy Riot members laugh as judge delivers two-year prison sentences for Russian church protest
Timothy Heritage and Maria Tsvetkova, Reuters
Aug 17, 2012
http://news.nationalpost.com/2012/08/17/pussy-riot-members-laugh-as-judge-delivers-two-year-prison-sentences-for-russian-church-protest/
MOSCOW — Three women from Russian punk band Pussy Riot laughed as they were sentenced to two years in jail on Friday for their protest against President Vladimir Putin in a church, an outcome supporters described as the Kremlin leader’s “personal revenge.”
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Feminist punk group Pussy Riot members, from left, Maria Alekhina, Yekaterina Samutsevich, and Nadezhda Tolokonnikova show the court's verdict as they sit in a glass cage at a court room in Moscow, Russia on Friday, Aug 17, 2012. A judge found three members of the provocative punk band Pussy Riot guilty of hooliganism on Friday, in a case that has drawn widespread international condemnation as an emblem of Russia's intolerance of dissent.
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The band’s supporters burst into chants of “Shame” outside the Moscow courthouse and said the case showed Putin’s refusal to tolerate dissent. The U.S. embassy in Moscow said the sentence appeared disproportionate to what the defendants did.
The women have support abroad, where their case has been taken up by a long list of celebrities including Madonna, Paul McCartney and Sting, but opinion polls show few Russians sympathize with them.
“The girls’ actions were sacrilegious, blasphemous and broke the church’s rules,” Judge Marina Syrova told the court as she spent three hours reading the verdict while the women stood watching in handcuffs inside a glass courtroom cage.
She declared all three guilty of hooliganism motivated by religious hatred, saying they had deliberately offended Russian Orthodox believers by storming the altar of Moscow’s main cathedral in February to belt out a song deriding Putin.
Nadezhda Tolokonnikova, 22, Marina Alyokhina, 24, and Yekaterina Samutsevich, 30, giggled as the judge read out the sentences one by one. They have already been in jail for about five months, meaning they will serve another 19.
They say they were protesting against Putin’s close ties with the church when they burst into Moscow’s golden-domed Christ the Saviour Cathedral wearing bright ski masks, tights and short skirts.

State prosecutors had requested a three-year jail term.
Putin’s opponents portray the trial as part of a wider crackdown by the former KGB spy to crush their protest movement.
“They are in jail because it is Putin’s personal revenge,” Alexei Navalny, one of the organisers of big protests against Putin during the winter, told reporters outside the court. “This verdict was written by Vladimir Putin.”
Putin’s spokesman did not immediately answer calls following the verdict, but the president’s allies said before the trial that the Kremlin would not have any influence on the outcome. The Russian Orthodox Church also did not comment.
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Amnesty International protestors demonstrate against the verdict of the Russian court against punk band Pussy Riot, outside the Russian embassy in Oslo, Friday, Aug. 17, 2012.

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Foreign Support
Foreign singers have campaigned for the trio’s release, and Washington says the case is politically motivated. Madonna performed in Moscow with “PUSSY RIOT” painted on her back.
“As in most politically motivated cases, this court is not in line with the law, common sense or mercy,” veteran human rights campaigner Lyudmila Alexeyeva said.
But Valentina Ivanova, 60, a retired doctor, said outside the courtroom: “What they did showed disrespect towards everything, and towards believers first of all.”
The judge said they had “committed an act of hooliganism, a gross violation of public order showing obvious disrespect for society.” She rejected their argument that they had no intention of offending Russian Orthodox believers.
The trio’s defence lawyers said they would appeal.
Many in Russia’s mainly Orthodox Christian society backed the authorities’ demands for severe punishment, though some have said the women deserved clemency.
Putin, who returned to the presidency for a third term in May after a four-year spell as prime minister, has said the women did “nothing good” but should not be judged too harshly.
Witnesses say at least 24 people were detained by police in scuffles or for unfurling banners or donning ski masks in support of Pussy Riot outside the courtroom. Among those detained were Sergei Udaltsov, a leftist opposition leader, and Garry Kasparov, the chess great and vehement Putin critic.
“Shame on [Russian Orthodox Patriarch] Kirill, shame on Putin,” Udaltsov said before he was detained.
“A disgraceful political reprisal is under way on the part of the authorities … If we swallow this injustice, they can come for any one of us tomorrow.”
The crowd of about 2,000 people outside the court was dominated by Pussy Riot supporters but also included some nationalists and religious believers demanding a tough sentence.
“Evil must be punished,” said Maria Butilno, 60, who held an icon and said Pussy Riot had insulted the faithful.
An opinion poll of Russians released by the independent Levada research group on Friday showed only 6% had sympathy with the women, 51% said they found nothing good about them or felt irritation or hostility, and the rest were unable to say or were indifferent.
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A father and his daughter, supporters of feminist punk band "Pussy Riot", wear the group's trademark coloured balaclava in St. Petersburg on August 17, 2012.
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Radical Protesters
Tolokonnikova, Alyokhina and Samutsevich are educated, middle-class Russians who say their protest was not intended to offend believers.
The charges against Pussy Riot raised concern abroad about freedom of speech in Russia two decades after the collapse of the Soviet Union.
“Today’s sentence in the Pussy Riot case looks disproportionate to the actions,” the U.S. Embassy in Moscow wrote on its Twitter microblog in Russian.
Protests in support of the group were planned in cities from Sydney to Paris, and New York to London. A crowd of several hundred gathered in a New York hotel late on Thursday to hear actress Chloe Sevigny and others read from letters, lyrics and court statements by the detained women.
In the centre of Kiev, a bare-chested feminist activist took a chainsaw to a wooden cross bearing a figure of Christ, while in Bulgaria, sympathisers put Pussy Riot-style masks on statues at a Soviet Army monument.
“Huge damage has been done to the country’s image and attractiveness for investors,” former Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin wrote in a message posted on his website.
Protest leaders say Putin will not relax pressure on opponents in his new six-year term. Parliament has already rushed through laws increasing fines for protesters, tightening controls on the Internet, and imposing stricter rules on defamation.
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Russian riot policemen detain a supporter of all-girl punk band "Pussy Riot" near a court building in Moscow on Agust 17, 2012.
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Canadian twist in Pussy Riot case sparks call for Ottawa to intervene
Kathryn Blaze Carlson
Aug 17, 2012
The international case of the punk-rock group called Pussy Riot, whose members are being detained for an anti-Putin prank in Moscow, has all the trappings of a bizarre plot: a “punk prayer” calling on the Virgin Mary to save Russia from its president; criminal charges of hooliganism motivated by religious hatred; and a high-ranking Russian politician deriding popstar Madonna as a “moralizing” slut.
But Thursday the tale took another surprising twist with the possibility that one of the three feminist rockers is a permanent resident of Canada whose husband is reportedly Russian-Canadian. A Canadian blogger posted footage online of Russian authorities interrogating Nadezhda Tolokonnikova in which the 22-year-old denies being a permanent resident — despite being shown what looks like an official Permanent Resident Card in her name.
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According to a translation obtained by the National Post, Ms. Tolokonnikova said she visited Canada on a visitor’s visa, apparently in 2011, but that she had planned to stay in Russia and “fight.”
“I was in Canada and I have the right for this, but I have not received permanent residency,” she said in Russian.
About one minute into the five-minute video, though, authorities zoom in on what looks like a copy of an official Permanent Resident Card issued by the Government of Canada — in her name, and bearing what appears to be her photo.
Canada’s Department of Citizenship and Immigration said it could not confirm or deny someone’s immigration status because of privacy reasons, and that “it is not possible for us to verify whether the card being shown in the video is legitimate.”
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Supporters of the Russian female punk band Pussy Riot, including one holding a sign (L) in Russian that reads: "Freedom for Tolokonnikova," protest outside the Russian embassy on Friday in Berlin, Germany. Protests flared around the world after the guilty verdict.
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Spokeswoman Nancy Caron said in an email that in order to get a card, a person must be a permanent resident of Canada and must be physically in the country. To maintain the status, an immigrant has to live in Canada for at least two years within a five-year period. The Permanent Resident Card that appears to be in Ms. Tolokonnikova’s name expires on April 5, 2016.
Her denial of official ties to Canada surfaces two weeks after a Washington Post report that her husband’s own Canadian passport was shown on local television and declared as evidence that he is working to tear Russia apart. Another news outlet, the Irish Examiner, recently reported that the man, named Pyotr Verzilov, went to high school in Canada; an activist music blog narrowed down his studies to Toronto.Ms. Tolokonnikova has been described by Russian prosecutors as the mastermind behind the February prank, in which she, Maria Alekhina and Yekaterina Samutsevich of the Pussy Riot burst into Moscow’s main Russian Orthodox cathedral and danced and shouted for the Virgin Mary to deliver Russia from Mr. Putin, who at the time was set to win a third term in a presidential election.
Their case has garnered global attention and celebrity support from Madonna, Paul McCartney and Bjork.
The mystery of Ms. Tolokonnikova’s potential link to Canada also comes ahead of a Toronto rally in support of the trio before an expected verdict on hooliganism charges Friday, and has sparked an online call for the Canadian government to intervene on Ms. Tolokonnikova’s behalf. That call was mounted Thursday by Lisa Kirbie, a blogger who has partnered with a Toronto band to raise money for the women’s legal defence and who once worked for former Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff on Parliament Hill. She said she was sent the video, which now has more than 76,000 views on YouTube, as well as a rough translation earlier this week, though she would not disclose the source.
“We have a woman who has been held in prison for months on end, sleep deprived and denied contact with her family,” said Ms. Kirbie, whose roots can be traced back to Russia. “If this woman is a permanent resident of Canada, doesn’t the federal government have a moral obligation, if not a legal one, to find out more about what’s going and potentially help this woman?”
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Pussy Riot try to perform at the Christ the Saviour Cathedral in Moscow.

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On the legal question, the answer is “no,” according to two prominent Canadian lawyers. Even if Ms. Tolokonnikova is, in fact, a permanent resident of Canada, the Department of Foreign Affairs has no obligation to protect her human rights abroad — that protection is only guaranteed by citizenship.
“The difference between permanent residency and citizenship is the fact that permanent residents are citizens of another country, and [the government] wouldn’t want to take any steps that would appear to be interfering on the citizenship rights and responsibilities of another country,” said longtime Vancouver immigration lawyer Douglas Cannon.
“Permanent residents have a different kind of status, especially when they [allegedly] run afoul of the law in some way,” said extradition expert Gary Botting. “Canada tends to abandon them and leave them to their own devices.”
Foreign Affairs spokeswoman Jessica Seguin said the government “follows the human rights situation in Russia closely,” and that “the promotion of Canadian values, including freedom, democracy, human rights, and the rule of law, features prominently in our ongoing dialogue with the Russian authorities.”
National Post, with files from news services
Email: kcarlson@nationalpost.com
Twitter: KBlazeCarlson
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When Putin's Thugs Came for Me
I was dragged away Friday by a group of police—in fact carried away with one on each arm and leg
By Garry Kasparov
Moscow
August 19, 2012
The only surprise to come out of Friday's guilty verdict in the trial here of the Russian punk band Pussy Riot was how many people acted surprised. Three young women were sentenced to two years in prison for the prank of singing an anti-Putin "prayer" in the Cathedral of Christ the Savior. Their jailing was the next logical step for Vladimir Putin's steady crackdown on "acts against the social order," the Kremlin's expansive term for any public display of resistance.
In the 100 days since Mr. Putin's re-election as president, severe new laws against public protest have been passed and the homes of opposition leaders have been raided. These are not the actions of a regime prepared to grant leniency to anyone who offends Mr. Putin's latest ally, the Orthodox Church and its patriarch.
Unfortunately, I was not there to hear the judge's decision, which she took hours to read. The crowds outside the court building made entry nearly impossible, so I stood in a doorway and took questions from journalists. Suddenly, I was dragged away by a group of police—in fact carried away with one policeman on each arm and leg.
The men refused to tell me why I was being arrested and shoved me into a police van. When I got up to again ask why I had been detained, things turned violent. I was restrained, choked and struck several times by a group of officers before being driven to the police station with dozens of other protesters. After several hours I was released, but not before they told me I was being criminally investigated for assaulting a police officer who claimed I had bitten him.
It would be easy to laugh at such a bizarre charge when there are already so many videos and photos of the police assaulting me. But in a country where you can be imprisoned for two years for singing a song, laughter does not come easily. My bruises will heal long before the members of Pussy Riot are free to see their young children again. In the past, Mr. Putin's critics and enemies have been jailed on a wide variety of spurious criminal charges, from fraud to terrorism.
But now the masks are off. Unlikely as it may be, the three members of a punk band have become our first true political prisoners.
Such a brazen step should raise alarms, but the leaders of the Free World are clearly capable of sleeping through any wake-up call. A spokesman for the Obama administration called the sentence "disproportionate," as if the length of the prison term were the only problem with open repression of political speech.
Mr. Putin is not worried about what the Western press says, or about celebrities tweeting their support for Pussy Riot. These are not the constituencies that concern him.
Friday, the Russian paper Vedomosti reported that former Deutsche Bank CEO Josef Ackermann could be put in charge of managing the hundreds of billions of dollars in the Russian sovereign wealth fund. As long as bankers and other Western elites eagerly line up to do Mr. Putin's bidding, the situation in Russia will only get worse. I hope that the chaos and outrage around the Pussy Riot trial shows Mr. Ackermann and others like him that Putin's Russia is a very dangerous investment.
If officials at the U.S. State Department are as "seriously concerned" about free speech in Russia as they say, I suggest they drop their opposition to the Magnitsky Act pending in the Senate. That legislation would bring financial and travel sanctions against the functionaries who enact the Kremlin's agenda of repression. Hit them where it hurts and expose them as the thugs that they are. Those who wish to help should pressure their representatives to pass such measures. If you live in a democracy you have a voice. Do not waste it.
Mr. Putin could not care less about winning public-relations battles in the Western press, or about fighting them at all. He and his cronies care only about money and power. Friday's events make it clear that they will fight for those things until Russia's jails are full.
Mr. Kasparov, a contributing editor of The Wall Street Journal, is the leader of the Russian pro-democracy group United Civil Front and chairman of the U.S.-based Human Rights Foundation. He resides in Moscow.  
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Garry Kasparov arrested outside Pussy Riot trial
By Katerina Nikolas
Aug 17, 2012
Moscow - As pro-Pussy Riot supporters gather in protest around the world, protesters in Moscow, including former chess champion Garry Kasparov, have been arrested by Russian police.
Three members of punk group Pussy Riot were found guilty on charges of hooliganism inside a Moscow cathedral on Friday. Police swooped in on protesters outside the Khamonivchesky courthouse, aggressively arresting 30 demonstrators including opposition leaders Garry Kasparov and Sergei Udaltsov, the Moscow Times reported.
Kasparov's Facebook page confirms his arrest and an entry reads "We just spoke to Garry on the phone. He is at the police station. He was beaten but says he is okay. He isn't sure what will happen next. It seems the police are waiting for orders from above. He says he was standing calmly speaking with journalists when police pushed through and grabbed him."
Reporters outside the packed courtroom reported a crush of people gathered, "dangerous to one's health."
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War with Iran - Is it Inevitable? (Part 3)

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Netanyahu's Secret War Plan: Leaked Document Outlines Israel's "Shock and Awe" Plan to Attack Iran
By Richard Silverstein
Global Research, August 16, 2012
Tikun Olam-תיקון עולם - 2012-08-15
URL of this article: www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=32380
In the past few days, I received an Israeli briefing document outlining Israel’s war plans against Iran. The document was passed to me by a high-level Israeli source who received it from an IDF officer. My source, in fact, wrote to me that normally he would not leak this sort of document, but:
“These are not normal times. I’m afraid Bibi and Barak are dead serious.”
The reason they leaked it is to expose the arguments and plans advanced by the Bibi-Barak two-headed warrior. Neither the IDF leaker, my source, nor virtually any senior military or intelligence officer wants this war. While whoever wrote this briefing paper had use of IDF and intelligence data, I don’t believe the IDF wrote it. It feels more likely it came from the shop of national security advisor Yaakov Amidror, a former general, settler true-believer and Bibi confidant. It could also have been produced by Defense Minister Barak, another pro-war booster.
I’ve translated the document from Hebrew with the help of Dena Shunra.
Before laying out the document, I wanted to place it in context. If you’ve been reading this blog you’ll know that after Bibi’s IDF service he became the marketing director for a furniture company. Recent revelations have suggested that he may have also served in some capacity either formally or informally in the Mossad during that period.
This document is a more sophisticated version of selling bedroom sets and three-piece sectionals. The only difference is that this marketing effort could lead to the death of thousands.
This is Bibi’s sales pitch for war. Its purpose is to be used in meetings with members of the Shminiya , the eight-member security cabinet which currently finds a 4-3 majority opposed to an Iran strike. Bibi uses this sales pitch to persuade the recalcitrant ministers of the cool, clean, refreshing taste of war. My source informs me that it has also been shared in confidence with selected journalists who are in the trusted inner media circle (who, oh who, might they be?).
This is Shock and Awe, Israel-style. It is Bibi’s effort to persuade high-level Israeli officials that Israel can prosecute a pure technology war that involves relatively few human beings (Israeli, that is) who may be put in harm’s way, and will certainly cost few lives of IDF personnel.
Bibi’s sleight of hand here involves no mention whatsoever of an Iranian counter-attack against Israel. The presumption must be that the bells and whistles of all those marvelous new weapons systems will decapitate Iran’s war-making ability and render it paralyzed. The likelihood of this actually happening is nearly nil.
There will be those who will dispute the authenticity of this document. I’m convinced it is what my source claims, based on his prior track record and the level of specificity offered in the document. It references cities by name and the facilities they contain. It names new weapons systems including one Israel supposedly hasn’t even shared with the U.S.
No, it’s real. Or I should say that while it’s real, it is the product of the Israeli dream factory which manufactures threats and then creates fabulist military strategies to address them. The dream factory always breaks the hearts of the families of those whose members fall victim to it. It never produces the result it promises, nor will it do so here.
Remember Bush-era Shock and Awe? Remember those promises of precision-guided cruise missiles raining death upon Saddam Hussein’s Iraq? Remember Bush’s “Mission Accomplished” ceremony on the deck of the USS Lincoln, only six or seven years premature? Remember the promises of decisive victory? Remember 4,000 U.S. dead, not to mention hundreds of thousands of Iraqis?
Now, think of what an Israeli war against Iran could turn into. Think about how this sanitized version of 21st century war could turn into a protracted, bloody conflict closer to the nine-year Iran-Iraq War:
The Israeli attack will open with a coordinated strike, including an unprecedented cyber-attack which will totally paralyze the Iranian regime and its ability to know what is happening within its borders. The internet, telephones, radio and television, communications satellites, and fiber optic cables leading to and from critical installations—including underground missile bases at Khorramabad and Isfahan—will be taken out of action. The electrical grid throughout Iran will be paralyzed and transformer stations will absorb severe damage from carbon fiber munitions which are finer than a human hair, causing electrical short circuits whose repair requires their complete removal. This would be a Sisyphean task in light of cluster munitions which would be dropped, some time-delayed and some remote-activated through the use of a satellite signal.
A barrage of tens of ballistic missiles would be launched from Israel toward Iran. 300km ballistic missiles would be launched from Israeli submarines in the vicinity of the Persian Gulf. The missiles would not be armed with unconventional warheads [WMD], but rather with high-explosive ordnance equipped with reinforced tips designed specially to penetrate hardened targets.
The missiles will strike their targets—some exploding above ground like those striking the nuclear reactor at Arak–which is intended to produce plutonium and tritium—and the nearby heavy water production facility; the nuclear fuel production facilities at Isfahan and facilities for enriching uranium-hexaflouride. Others would explode under-ground, as at the Fordo facility.
A barrage of hundreds of cruise missiles will pound command and control systems, research and development facilities, and the residences of senior personnel in the nuclear and missile development apparatus. Intelligence gathered over years will be utilized to completely decapitate Iran’s professional and command ranks in these fields.
After the first wave of attacks, which will be timed to the second, the “Blue and White” radar satellite, whose systems enable us to perform an evaluation of the level of damage done to the various targets, will pass over Iran. Only after rapidly decrypting the satellite’s data, will the information be transferred directly to war planes making their way covertly toward Iran. These IAF planes will be armed with electronic warfare gear previously unknown to the wider public, not even revealed to our U.S. ally. This equipment will render Israeli aircraft invisible. Those Israeli war planes which participate in the attack will damage a short-list of targets which require further assault.
Among the targets approved for attack—Shihab 3 and Sejil ballistic missile silos, storage tanks for chemical components of rocket fuel, industrial facilities for producing missile control systems, centrifuge production plants and more.
While the level of specificity in this document is, in some senses, impressive, in one critical aspect it is
deficient. Muhammad Sahimi points out that the current chief of the Revolutionary Guards, when he assumed his position in 2007, deliberately addressed the issue of over-centralization of command and control by dividing the nation into 31 districts. Each of these has its own independent command and control facilities and mechanisms. So Israel wouldn’t be able to knock out a single facility and paralyze the IRG. They’d need to knock out 31 separate sets of facilities–a much harder task.
There seems also to be an assumption that Iran’s leaders and nuclear specialists live nice domestic lives and that Israeli intelligence knows where they all live and can easily target them. In truth, the most senior Iranian military and scientific figures live clandestine lives and it’s hard for me to believe even the Mossad knows where they are and how to target them.
So it appears that Netanyahu believes he’s fighting Saddam circa 2003. During that war, the Iraqi Revolutionary Guards were centralized and knocking out one C&C center could decapitate the entire military apparatus. But Iran has learned from Saddam’s mistakes. It isn’t fighting the last war as Bibi appears to be. It is preparing for the next one. While Israel may have new tricks up its sleeve that no one in the world has yet seen, if it doesn’t understand the nature of the enemy, its defenses, its structure, etc. then it can’t win.
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Also See:
War with Iran - Is it Inevitable?
(Part 1)
11 November 2011
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.ca/2011/11/war-with-iran-is-it-inevitable.html
and
(Part 2)
04 March 2012
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.ca/2012/03/war-with-iran-is-it-inevitable-part-2.html
and
Israel and Iran - Who will Bomb Who First?
21 July 2010
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.com/2010/07/israel-and-iran-who-will-bomb-who-first.html
and
What's Happening in Iran?
12 February 2010
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.com/2010/02/citizens-of-iran-want-freedom-from.html
and
Iranians' Protest Election Results
25 June 2009
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.com/2009/06/iranian-people-protest.html
and
Neo-Cons Want to Attack Iran
17 September 2007
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.com/2007/09/neo-cons-want-to-attack-iran.html
and
The Iran-Contra Scandal!
29 December 2011
http://arcticcompass.blogspot.com/2011/12/iran-contra-scandal.html
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